For the past couple of years, itâs been tough for a lot of homebuyers to make the numbers work. Home prices shot up. Mortgage rates too. And a number of people hit pause because it just didnât feel possible. Maybe you were one of them.
But thereâs some encouraging news. If youâve been waiting for a better time to jump back in, affordability may finally be showing signs of improvement this fall.
The latest data from Redfin shows the typical monthly mortgage payment has been coming down, and is now about $290 lower than it was just a few months ago (see graph below):
And hereâs why this is happening. The cost of buying a home really comes down to three things:
- Mortgage rates
- Home prices
- Your wages
Right now, all three are finally moving in a better direction for you. While that doesnât mean itâs suddenly easy to buy at todayâs rates and prices, it does mean itâs not as challenging.
1. Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates have come down compared to earlier this year. In May, they were roughly 7%. And now, theyâre closer to 6.3% (see graph below):
That may not sound like a big deal, but it does matter. Even small changes in rates can make a difference in your future monthly payment. Compared to when rates were 7%, if you take out an average $400K mortgage now at 6.3%, itâll cost about $190 less a month based on just rates alone.
And for some people, thatâs been enough to make buying a home possible again. As Joel Kan, VP and Deputy Chief Economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), explained on September 10th:
âThe downward rate movement spurred the strongest week of borrower demand since 2022 . . . Purchase applications increased to the highest level since July and continued to run more than 20 percent ahead of last yearâs pace.â
2. Home Prices
After several years of prices rising very rapidly, price growth has finally slowed. As Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, puts it:
âNational home price growth remains positive, but muted â low single digits â and we expect this trend to continue in the second half of the year.â
For buyers, thatâs actually a big relief. That moderation makes it easier to plan your budget. And in some markets, prices have even dipped slightly. If you’re in one of the markets, you may be able to find something thatâs more affordable than you’d expect.
3. Wages
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), wages are up near 4% annually. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explains why that number is so important right now:
âWage growth is now comfortably outpacing home price growth, and buyers have more choices.â
In other words, the typical paycheck is rising faster than home prices right now, which helps make buying a little more affordable. Now, itâs not a big difference, but in a market like this, every bit counts.
What This Means for You
Lower rates, slower price growth, and stronger wages might be enough to make the numbers finally work for you this fall.
While affordability is still tight, itâs a little easier on your wallet to buy now than it was just few months ago. Remember, data from Redfin shows the typical monthly mortgage payment is already around $290 lower than it was earlier this year.
Bottom Line
Have you been wondering if itâs worth taking another look at buying?
Letâs run the numbers together. We can go over your budget, see whatâs changed, and figure out if this fall is the time to turn window-shopping into key-turning.






Compared to just 4 months ago, your future monthly payment would be almost $200 less per month. Thatâs close to $2,400 a year in savings.
Why This Matters If Youâre Selling Your House

On average theyâre taking off about 5% off the purchase price of the house. For a buyer, 5% could be the difference between reluctantly settling and finally getting a home that works for you.

